Miserable Bastards

76 anti-trans misinformation claims · dual-axis evaluation

15-variable algebra · 1,216 citations · March 2026

· · ·
Method. 15 variables, 4 categories: C₁ Evidence, C₂ Method, C₃ Consensus, C₄ Logic. p(V) = geometric mean — zero in any category propagates. Click source → claims → scores, citations, refutation.
0.206
mean p(V) all 76 claims
34%
claims with p(V) = 0.000
0.192
mean C₂ — weakest category

The Cass Review's highest finding (CASS-15: 0.794 — own reviews found benefit) and its most consequential recommendations (CASS-09: 0.000, CASS-17: 0.000) occupy opposite ends. The gap is the algebraic signature: evidence contradicts recommendations.

CASS
The Cass Review
0.296
mean p(V) · 18 claims
SEGM
SEGM / Genspect
0.143
mean p(V) · 14 claims
HER
Heritage / Project 2025
0.128
mean p(V) · 12 claims
LOTT
Libs of TikTok
0.138
mean p(V) · 7 claims
GROK
Grok / X / Musk
0.222
mean p(V) · 15 claims
JKR
J.K. Rowling
0.243
mean p(V) · 10 claims